U.S. winter wheat crop up 2% from May

by Ron Sterk
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WASHINGTON — U.S. 2015 winter wheat production was forecast at 1,505 million bus, up 2% from 1,472 million bus forecast in May and up 9% from 1,378 million bus in 2014, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said in its June 10 Crop Production report.

The forecast was above the average trade expectation of 1,469 million bus.

Production of hard red winter wheat was forecast at 887 million bus, up 4% from 853 million bus in May and up 20% from 738 million bus in 2014, soft red winter at 414 million bus, down slightly from 416 million bus in May and down 9% from 455 million bus last year. White winter wheat outturn was forecast at 204 million bus, up slightly from 203 million bus in May. The white winter wheat forecast included hard white at 12.4 million bus, up from 11.5 million bus in May, and soft white at 191 million bus, unchanged from last month.

Harvested area for winter wheat was estimated at 33.8 million acres, unchanged from May and up 5% from 32.3 million acres in 2014.

U.S. average winter wheat yield was forecast at 44.5 bus per acre based on June 1 conditions, up 1 bu from May and up 1.9 bus from 42.6 bus an acre in 2014.

The U.S.D.A. forecast Kansas winter wheat production at 315.5 million bus, up 16% from 272 million bus forecast in May and up 28% from 246.4 million bus in 2014. The average Kansas yield was forecast at 37 bus per acre, up 5 bus from both May and 2014.

In its June 10 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report, the U.S.D.A. forecast all U.S. wheat production in 2015 at 2,121 million bus, up 2% from 2,087 million bus forecast in May and up 5% from 2,026 million bus in 2014. The WASDE forecast uses survey-based numbers for winter wheat and trend data for spring wheat.
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