U.S. 2011 all wheat down 3% from August

by Ron Sterk
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WASHINGTON — U.S. 2011 all wheat production was estimated at 2,008,039,000 bus, down 68,495,000 bus, or 3%, from 2,076,534,000 bus forecast in August and down 198,877,000 bus, or 9%, from 2,206,916,000 bus in 2010, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said in its Sept. 30 Small Grains Summary 2011.

The U.S.D.A. all wheat production number was below average pre-report trade estimates near 2,044 million bus.

All wheat yield was estimated at 43.9 bus an acre, down 1.3 bus from 45.2 bus in August and down 2.4 bus from 46.3 bus an acre in 2010.

Production of spring wheat other than durum was estimated at 462,473,000 bus, down 59,502,000 bus, or 11%, from 521,975,000 bus forecast in August, and down 153,502,000 bus, or 25%, from 615,975,000 bus a year ago. The average yield was forecast at 38.3 bus an acre, down 4.2 bus from 42.5 bus in August and down 7.8 bus from 46.1 bus in 2010.

Production of hard red spring wheat was forecast at 405,287,000 bus, down 69,253,000 bus, or 15%, from 474,540,000 bus in August and down 164,688,000 bus, or 29%, from 569,975,000 bus in 2010.

Durum outturn was estimated at 51,889,000 bus, down 5,241,000 bus, or 9%, from 57,130,000 bus forecast in August and down 54,191,000 bus, or 51%, from 106,080,000 bus in 2010. Durum average yield was estimated at 39.3 bus an acre, down 3.1 bus from 42.4 bus an acre in August and down 2.8 bus from 42.1 bus an acre in 2010.

The U.S.D.A. durum number was below the average trade expectation of 54 million bus.

The U.S.D.A. estimated winter wheat production at 1,493,677,000 bus, down 3,752,000 bus from 1,497,429,000 bus in August but up 8,816,000 bus, or 0.6%, from 1,484,861,000 bus in 2010. The U.S.D.A. estimated winter wheat yield at 46.2 bus an acre, down 0.1 bus from 46.3 bus in August and down 0.6 bus from 46.8 bus an acre in 2010.

Hard red winter wheat production was estimated at 780,089,000 bus, down 14,299,000 bus, or 2%, from 794,388,000 bus in August and down 238,248,000 bus, or 23%, from 1,018,337,000 bus in 2010.

Soft red winter production was estimated at 457,535,000 bus, up 5,554,000 bus, or 1%, from 451,981,000 bus in August and up 220,106,000 bus, or 93%, from 237,429,000 bus in 2010.

White winter wheat outturn was estimated at 256,053,000 bus, up 4,993,000 bus, or 2%, from 251,060,000 bus in August and up 26,958,000 bus, or 12%, from 229,095,000 bus in 2010.

The U.S.D.A. other spring wheat, winter wheat and hard red winter wheat numbers were below average pre-report trade estimates, but the soft red winter and white winter were above trade expectations.

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